The Independent National Electoral
Commission, INEC, has declared the incumbent governor of Osun State and Accord
Party candidate, Ademola Adeleke, winner of the state’s governorship election.
Adeleke secured 511,067 votes to defeat his
closest challenger, Bola Oyebamiji of the All Progressives Congress, APC, who
polled 444,815 votes.
Therefore, Adeleke won
his re-election with 66,252-vote margin.
The returning officer
Prof Joshua Olalekan Ogunwole announced the result on Sunday after collation
was completed across the state’s 30 local government areas.
The African Democratic
Congress, ADC, candidate, Najeem Salaam, finished third with 17,180 votes.
Adeleke thanks
President Tinubu
Reacting to his
victory, Governor Adeleke thanked President Bola Tinubu, adding that the
President called to congratulate him.
Adeleke, who described
his re-election as a victory for democracy and Osun people, thanked the
president for ensuring democracy “lives on”.
“I want to seize this
opportunity to thank Mr. President. He has called me and he has congratulated
me. Thank you Mr. President for making sure democracy lives on because you
fought for it,” he said.
‘I expect Oyebamiji to
call me’
Also, Adeleke declared
the win as victory for democracy and the people of Osun State, and expressed
appreciation to God.
He also stated that he
was expecting the APC candidate, Oyebamiji, to call and congratulate him,
noting that for him “It’s no victor, no vanquished”.
LGs won by Adeleke
From results announced
by INEC, Adeleke won 19 local government areas, while the APC candidate, Bola
Oyebamiji, won 11.
The Accord Party
candidate won the following 19 local government areas:
Ede North: Adeleke —
35,427; Oyebamiji — 10,283
Osogbo: Adeleke —
36,480; Oyebamiji — 30,474
Ede South: Adeleke —
26,188; Oyebamiji — 6,219
Iwo: Adeleke — 27,085;
Oyebamiji — 19,660
Ife East: Adeleke —
27,201; Oyebamiji — 18,600
Ife Central: Adeleke —
21,171; Oyebamiji — 15,913
Ifelodun: Adeleke —
21,107; Oyebamiji — 18,396
Oriade: Adeleke —
21,343; Oyebamiji — 14,863
Egbedore: Adeleke —
19,278; Oyebamiji — 11,194
Odo Otin: Adeleke —
18,003; Oyebamiji — 15,435
Ilesa West: Adeleke —
16,196; Oyebamiji — 12,756
Ila: Adeleke — 16,211;
Oyebamiji — 12,934
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Ayedaade: Adeleke —
16,681; Oyebamiji — 15,719
Ife North: Adeleke —
13,879; Oyebamiji — 9,613
Orolu: Adeleke —
12,352; Oyebamiji — 10,622
Boluwaduro: Adeleke —
7,118; Oyebamiji — 7,050
Ayedire: Adeleke —
11,073; Oyebamiji — 9,910
Ifedayo: Adeleke —
7,427; Oyebamiji — 6,836
Ejigbo: Adeleke —
18,458; Oyebamiji — 16,195
LGAs won by APC
Oyebamiji led in 11
local government areas, including several areas where the APC traditionally
enjoys substantial support.
The APC won Ilesa
East with 16,208 votes against Adeleke’s 12,280; Boripe with
19,963 against 12,448; Irepodun with 15,713 against 14,504;
and Obokun with 16,120 against 12,023.
Oyebamiji also won
in Atakumosa West, Irewole, Atakumosa East, Isokan, Olaoluwa, Ife
South and Olorunda.
The African Democratic
Congress, ADC, generally recorded significantly lower figures, although it
secured 5,053 votes in Ejigbo, its strongest showing among the figures
supplied.
The Mathematics
The most revealing
feature of the election was not simply the number of local governments won by
each candidate, but the size of the margins recorded in their respective
strongholds.
Some of Adeleke’s
victories were particularly large, creating a substantial cushion that APC
struggled to erase with its own victories.
The clearest example
came from the Ede axis.
Ede delivered huge
advantage
In Ede-North, Accord
scored 35,427 votes, while APC recorded 10,283. That gave Adeleke a margin of
25,144 votes in one local government. The result in Ede-South was equally
significant.
Accord polled 26,188
votes, compared with APC’s 6,219, giving the governor another 19,969-vote
advantage.
Combined, the two Ede
councils gave Accord 61,615 votes, against APC’s 16,502. That amounted to a
45,113-vote net advantage for Adeleke from just two LGAs. It was a margin that
would prove difficult for APC to neutralise elsewhere.
Osogbo adds to
Adeleke’s advantage
The state capital also
contributed significantly to Adeleke’s performance.
In Osogbo Local
Government Area, Accord secured 36,480 votes, while APC polled 30,474. Adeleke
therefore won the council by 6,006 votes.
The ADC scored 1,503
votes in Osogbo, its strongest performance among the 30 LGAs covered by the
supplied results.
Osogbo was important
not only because of its political significance, but also because the result
demonstrated Adeleke’s ability to remain competitive in an urban centre where
APC also had considerable support.
Adeleke dominates the
Ife axis
The Ife area was
another important component of the governor’s victory.
Accord won Ife-East,
polling 27,201 votes against APC’s 18,600, a margin of 8,601 votes. In
Ife-Central, Adeleke secured 21,171 votes, while APC recorded 15,913, giving
Accord a further 5,258-vote advantage.
Accord also won
Ife-North, where it scored 13,879 votes against APC’s 9,613, a margin of 4,266
votes. APC, however, secured Ife-South, polling 14,678 votes against Accord’s
13,507, a margin of 1,171 votes.
Overall, the four Ife
councils produced 75,758 votes for Accord and 58,804 for APC, giving Adeleke a
combined advantage of 16,954 votes.
Egbedore, Iwo and
Oriade strengthen the lead
Adeleke’s victory was
not confined to Ede, Osogbo and Ife. In Egbedore, Accord scored 19,278 votes,
against APC’s 11,194, producing a margin of 8,084 votes.
In Iwo, Adeleke polled
27,085 votes, while Oyebamiji recorded 19,660, giving Accord a margin of 7,425
votes.
The governor also
carried Oriade, where Accord secured 21,343 votes, compared with APC’s 14,863 —
a difference of 6,480 votes.
These victories helped
Adeleke accumulate the substantial overall lead that emerged from the
collation.
APC remained a
formidable challenger
Despite losing the
election, the results showed that APC remained a major political force in Osun.
Oyebamiji won 11 of
the 30 LGAs and recorded some impressive margins.
His strongest
performance in the supplied results came from Irewole, where APC polled 29,972
votes, against Accord’s 10,934.
That gave APC a
19,038-vote advantage in the local government. APC also won Boripe, with 19,963
votes against Accord’s 12,448, a margin of 7,515 votes.
It further secured
victories in Olorunda, Ilesa-East, Ife-South, Ola-Oluwa, Isokan, Obokun,
Atakumosa-West and Atakumosa-East.
But the challenge for
APC was the distribution and size of those victories. The party won several
LGAs, but its combined margins were not enough to offset the much larger
margins accumulated by Adeleke in his strongest areas.
Adeleke won big where
it mattered
The 2026 election
therefore provides an interesting lesson in electoral mathematics. A candidate
does not necessarily need to win every local government to secure a statewide
victory.
What matters is the
aggregate vote total.
Adeleke’s 19 victories
produced 511,067 votes, while APC’s 11 winning LGAs contributed to an overall
total of 444,815 votes.
The difference was
66,252 votes. The Ede results alone accounted for a substantial portion of that
overall margin.
This explains why
APC’s victories in several councils, including Irewole and Boripe, were
insufficient to overturn Adeleke’s advantage.









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